
Volume
$6K
Txns
199
Traders
69
Fees
$14
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | proposal123 | No / 99.9¢ | +67.00 | $66.9 | |
| 22d | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 22d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 22d | Itlliccaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 22d | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | ninjaslashed | Yes / 1.0¢ | +800.00 | $8.32 | |
| 24d | apiwat | No / 99.0¢ | +800.00 | $792 | |
| 24d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -10.24 | $0.51 | |
| 24d | 0x5cc5...bac1ce | No / 93.9¢ | -10.24 | $9.61 | |
| 24d | PPMT | Yes / 0.5¢ | +10.24 | $0.05 | |
| 24d | 0x5cc5...bac1ce | No / 99.5¢ | +10.24 | $10.3 | |
| 24d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.6¢ | +40.00 | $0.24 | |
| 24d | wfsxfwetrdsf | Yes / 0.6¢ | -40.00 | $0.23 | |
| 24d | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 24d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +106.56 | $1.17 | |
| 24d | ArtIronman | No / 99.0¢ | -60.00 | $59.4 | |
| 24d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 1.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.44 | |
| 24d | apiwat | No / 98.9¢ | +211.56 | $209 | |
| 25d | Cromartie | Yes / 3.6¢ | +27.78 | $1.04 | |
| 25d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 3.6¢ | -27.78 | $1 | |
| 27d | LornaPredicts | Yes / 1.2¢ | +4.76 | $0.06 | |
| 27d | RazuchiONE | Yes / 1.9¢ | -50.00 | $0.97 | |
| 27d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 2.1¢ | +45.24 | $0.95 | |
| 27d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +53.28 | $2.66 | |
| 27d | RazuchiONE | Yes / 4.0¢ | +50.00 | $2 |
1–25
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 98%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
No 66%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 99%$0volume