
Volume
$992K
Txns
10,128
Traders
2,513
Fees
$1,585
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.8 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.8 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, or any other variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.7, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation, such as Claude 5 or similar, will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 92%$0volume
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
No 100%$0volume
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 94%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | lassenstr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | Falcongamer | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x28194E8d3faf62775eC3A5eB0f4277779740989B-1779504283917 | No / 0.1¢ | +6,150.00 | $6.4 | |
| 1mo | lassenstr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,150.00 | $6.14K | |
| 1mo | 2017 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -947.84 | $947 | |
| 1mo | lassenstr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +947.84 | $947 | |
| 1mo | lassenstr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,700.00 | $1.7K | |
| 1mo | 0x28194E8d3faf62775eC3A5eB0f4277779740989B-1779504283917 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,700.00 | $1.77 | |
| 1mo | suntori | No / 0.1¢ | -153.09 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | y0Noqz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.74 | $10.7 | |
| 1mo | jordannnnnnnn | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.25 | $19.2 | |
| 1mo | Jordannnnnnn | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.86 | $8.85 | |
| 1mo | cathy077 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -29.16 | $29.1 | |
| 1mo | yjqjqy | No / 0.1¢ | +85.08 | $0.09 | |
| 1mo | yjqjqy | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | lassenstr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | Letsgogambling211 | No / 0.1¢ | -9.37 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | yjqjqy | No / 0.1¢ | +9.37 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sackoftree | No / 0.1¢ | -9.09 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | yjqjqy | No / 0.1¢ | +5.55 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | newstrat | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.54 | $3.54 | |
| 1mo | Cali009 | No / 0.1¢ | -7.69 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | newstrat | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.69 | $7.68 | |
| 1mo | clem913 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.28 | $10.3 | |
| 1mo | buongiornoamico | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.02 | $19 |
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