
Volume
$30K
Txns
631
Traders
110
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 16, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?
Yes 100%$0volume
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Will Biden drop out on July 21?
Yes 100%$0volume
Minnesota suspect Boelter still on the run Tuesday?
No 100%$0volume
Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
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Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | BigodinSagaz | No / 0.5¢ | -8.11 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Vicee | Yes / 99.5¢ | -8.11 | $8.07 | |
| 1y | BigodinSagaz | No / 0.5¢ | -14.28 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | misunderstood | Yes / 99.5¢ | -14.28 | $14.2 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -70.91 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | hzbz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -70.91 | $70.8 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +44.80 | $44.8 | |
| 1y | hzbz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -44.80 | $44.8 | |
| 1y | duderr | No / 0.1¢ | +160.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 0.1¢ | -160.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | duderr | Yes / 99.6¢ | -104.88 | $104 | |
| 1y | BigodinSagaz | No / 0.5¢ | +50.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | 0xdoqwkp12 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | normalOne | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | praesagus | Yes / 99.8¢ | +845.87 | $844 | |
| 1y | Karekken | Yes / 99.4¢ | -20.99 | $20.9 | |
| 1y | Sinch | Yes / 98.1¢ | -761.57 | $747 | |
| 1y | Bsau4 | No / 1.6¢ | -80.76 | $1.29 | |
| 1y | Bsau4 | No / 1.6¢ | -69.23 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | Karekken | Yes / 98.5¢ | +21.00 | $20.7 | |
| 1y | Bsau4 | No / 1.6¢ | -30.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | Yes / 98.0¢ | +429.27 | $421 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | Yes / 98.0¢ | +31.31 | $30.7 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | Yes / 98.0¢ | +100.00 | $98 |
1–25