
Volume
$18K
Txns
175
Traders
61
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 5, 2024
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | TulsaKing | Yes / 0.1¢ | +162.92 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | KAM | No / 99.9¢ | +162.92 | $163 | |
| 1y | 0xE6 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | TulsaKing | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.20 | $0 | |
| 1y | TulsaKing | Yes / 0.1¢ | +299.10 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | 0xE6 | No / 99.9¢ | +299.10 | $299 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 0xE6 | No / 99.9¢ | +555.76 | $555 | |
| 1y | TulsaKing | Yes / 0.1¢ | +455.76 | $0.46 | |
| 1y | 0xE6 | No / 99.9¢ | +673.73 | $673 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +99.59 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 0.1¢ | +574.14 | $0.57 | |
| 1y | babibobh | No / 99.9¢ | +15.07 | $15.1 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.07 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.03 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | acoountcoin | No / 99.9¢ | +15.03 | $15 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.35 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | dododoI | No / 99.9¢ | +6.35 | $6.34 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.62 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | bequicktofff | No / 99.9¢ | +15.62 | $15.6 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.61 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | mewsolsolsol | No / 99.9¢ | +15.61 | $15.6 | |
| 1y | Champion | No / 99.9¢ | +117.82 | $118 | |
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +117.82 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | KAM | No / 99.9¢ | +214.91 | $215 |
1–25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 81%$10.1Mvolume
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 100%$26.2Mvolume
Trump kiss by May 31?
Yes 100%$14.1Mvolume
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 100%$10.6Mvolume
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 100%$7.78Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 86%$33.9Mvolume