
Volume
$31
Txns
4
Traders
2
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | AJSV | No / 11.0¢ | +25.00 | $2.75 | |
| 2d | Xixihaha008 | No / 10.3¢ | -25.00 | $2.58 | |
| 2d | Xixihaha008 | No / 23.0¢ | +25.00 | $6.06 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 77.0¢ | +25.00 | $19.3 |
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 82%$4.4Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 95%$49.2Kvolume
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 72%$364volume
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
No 97%$205volume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 58%$11.3Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 96%$157volume