
Volume
$4K
Txns
194
Traders
75
Fees
$11
Ends
May 31, 2026
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$498Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.5Mvolume
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
No 100%$430Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 99%$2.97Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Yes 86%$211Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 73%$1.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26d | gghff | No / 99.9¢ | -145.47 | $145 | |
| 26d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.08 | $0 | |
| 26d | yougotme | No / 99.9¢ | +169.69 | $170 | |
| 26d | kstc19 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.14 | $7.13 | |
| 26d | 0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 28d | DFGDZFGD | No / 99.9¢ | +2.41 | $2.41 | |
| 28d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.41 | $0 | |
| 28d | W4ERFDF | No / 99.9¢ | +2.52 | $2.52 | |
| 28d | REHYGFRGSDFG | No / 99.9¢ | +2.17 | $2.17 | |
| 28d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.17 | $0 | |
| 28d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.52 | $0 | |
| 28d | bnhfghfghsdt | No / 99.9¢ | +2.34 | $2.34 | |
| 28d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.34 | $0 | |
| 28d | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.94 | $0 | |
| 28d | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.71 | $0 | |
| 28d | ERTRTREW | No / 99.9¢ | +2.64 | $2.64 | |
| 28d | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.64 | $0 | |
| 28d | wqetwaretwre | No / 99.9¢ | +2.37 | $2.37 | |
| 28d | 6TUYREYRT | No / 99.9¢ | +2.71 | $2.71 | |
| 28d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.43 | $0 | |
| 28d | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.27 | $0 | |
| 28d | 3E45RTAWRTWEST | No / 99.9¢ | +2.27 | $2.27 | |
| 28d | ersfgtsfgsdfrg | No / 99.0¢ | +2.26 | $2.24 | |
| 28d | 0x80E7e666409ffF559879d4567Bb6EAfE4D8Fd3A5-1764911698906 | No / 99.0¢ | -2.26 | $2.24 | |
| 28d | DTYIDTYUJFYHG | No / 99.5¢ | +2.37 | $2.36 |
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