
Volume
$144K
Txns
3,068
Traders
615
Fees
$12
Liquidity
$7,526
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$59.3Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 83%$51.5Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$634Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$225Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Operate | No / 99.0¢ | +2.09 | $2.07 | |
| 1d | attitudenotebookcomplain | No / 99.0¢ | -2.09 | $2.07 | |
| 2d | yuejing | No / 99.0¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 2d | Biver52 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 3d | huge-mike | No / 99.4¢ | +106.00 | $105 | |
| 3d | gainnotdelay | No / 99.4¢ | +8.44 | $8.39 | |
| 3d | STrongman | No / 99.4¢ | +10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 3d | Jjw | No / 99.4¢ | -124.44 | $124 | |
| 3d | VRGULINO | No / 99.4¢ | -10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 3d | STrongman | No / 99.4¢ | +10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 3d | gainnotdelay | No / 99.3¢ | +0.83 | $0.82 | |
| 3d | sebelmaestro | No / 99.3¢ | -0.83 | $0.82 | |
| 3d | sebelmaestro | No / 99.3¢ | -0.72 | $0.71 | |
| 3d | gainnotdelay | No / 99.3¢ | +0.72 | $0.71 | |
| 3d | dadaowuxing | No / 99.5¢ | -1.56 | $1.55 | |
| 3d | sebelmaestro | No / 99.5¢ | +1.56 | $1.55 | |
| 4d | 1eth10ksoon | No / 99.5¢ | +30.85 | $30.7 | |
| 4d | dadaowuxing | No / 99.5¢ | -30.85 | $30.7 | |
| 4d | kaka101 | No / 99.5¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 4d | dadaowuxing | No / 99.5¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 4d | 0xA618A881bfF6A50249853D0d59FF993828Fb273e-1770122095002 | No / 99.3¢ | +13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 4d | dadaowuxing | No / 99.3¢ | +129.86 | $129 | |
| 4d | adexer | Yes / 0.7¢ | +142.86 | $1.04 | |
| 4d | gainnotdelay | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 4d | huge-mike | No / 99.0¢ | -106.00 | $105 |
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