
Volume
$57K
Txns
1,375
Traders
265
Fees
$14
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | XuRi888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,840.06 | $4.83K | |
| 14d | fang1957 | No / 0.2¢ | +80.00 | $0.16 | |
| 14d | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 14d | MythicalScissors | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 14d | QMG-CORE | Yes / 99.7¢ | -22.06 | $22 | |
| 14d | ultralisk | No / 0.2¢ | +781.00 | $1.56 | |
| 14d | alexkrg | No / 0.2¢ | +846.00 | $1.69 | |
| 14d | 0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70a | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $990 | |
| 14d | vino1234 | No / 1.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $10 | |
| 14d | Biver52 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 14d | Ahpo | Yes / 98.9¢ | +100.00 | $98.9 | |
| 14d | Ahpo | Yes / 99.2¢ | +61.00 | $60.5 | |
| 14d | fryderykaesen | Yes / 99.2¢ | -61.00 | $60.5 | |
| 14d | Ahpo | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,290.11 | $1.28K | |
| 14d | Biver52 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 14d | gryaaaaaaaa | Yes / 98.9¢ | -45.11 | $44.6 | |
| 14d | BSS37 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 14d | vino1234 | No / 1.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $10 | |
| 14d | TraderProMax | No / 1.2¢ | +25.00 | $0.3 | |
| 14d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 1.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.24 | |
| 14d | QMG-CORE | Yes / 98.2¢ | +47.53 | $46.7 | |
| 14d | megabase | Yes / 98.1¢ | -47.53 | $46.6 | |
| 14d | Rachitdeveloper | Yes / 98.1¢ | -15.39 | $15.1 | |
| 14d | QMG-CORE | Yes / 98.2¢ | +15.39 | $15.1 | |
| 14d | QMG-CORE | Yes / 98.2¢ | +5.31 | $5.21 |
1–25