
Volume
$62K
Txns
1,395
Traders
266
Fees
$14
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic 91%$0volume
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exa…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Claude 5 be released on February 10, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Company D have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
$0volume
Will Company E have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026…
$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | thereallkanyewest | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,840.06 | $4.83K | |
| 2mo | fang1957 | No / 0.2¢ | +80.00 | $0.16 | |
| 2mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 2mo | MythicalScissors | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 99.7¢ | -22.06 | $22 | |
| 2mo | LornaPredicts | No / 0.2¢ | +781.00 | $1.56 | |
| 2mo | mehanizator | No / 0.2¢ | +846.00 | $1.69 | |
| 2mo | 0x2785e7022dc20757108204bI3c08cea8613b70a | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $990 | |
| 2mo | vino1234 | No / 1.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $10 | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 2mo | Ahpo | Yes / 98.9¢ | +100.00 | $98.9 | |
| 2mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.2¢ | +61.00 | $60.5 | |
| 2mo | fryderykaesen | Yes / 99.2¢ | -61.00 | $60.5 | |
| 2mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,290.11 | $1.28K | |
| 2mo | Biver52 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 2mo | gryaaaaaaaa | Yes / 98.9¢ | -45.11 | $44.6 | |
| 2mo | BSS37 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 2mo | vino1234 | No / 1.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $10 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | No / 1.2¢ | +25.00 | $0.3 | |
| 2mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 1.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.24 | |
| 2mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 98.2¢ | +47.53 | $46.7 | |
| 2mo | megabase | Yes / 98.1¢ | -47.53 | $46.6 | |
| 2mo | Rachitdeveloper | Yes / 98.1¢ | -15.39 | $15.1 | |
| 2mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 98.2¢ | +15.39 | $15.1 | |
| 2mo | QMG-CORE | Yes / 98.2¢ | +5.31 | $5.21 |
1–25