
Volume
$280K
Txns
1,164
Traders
248
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 24, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 21, 8:00 PM ET and, June 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Superbrot | No / 99.9¢ | -111.75 | $112 | |
| 1y | Baudlink | Yes / 0.1¢ | -111.75 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Baudlink | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.07 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | tacopaco | No / 99.9¢ | -5.07 | $5.06 | |
| 1y | f12 | No / 99.9¢ | -17.30 | $17.3 | |
| 1y | Baudlink | Yes / 0.1¢ | -17.30 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Baudlink | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Priapo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | BradPiitz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Baudlink | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.32 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | -989.68 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | -600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | Danthedrman | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 0x937Ef1340d304489235a6b655dAA4D58d54DdB42-1750096907513 | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +437.37 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +399.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,666.00 | $6.67 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,555.00 | $5.55 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +156.00 | $0.16 |
1–25
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
No 67%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026?
No 83%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?
No 85%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?
No 82%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?
No 56%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?
No 83%$0volume