
Volume
$277K
Txns
3,194
Traders
597
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 27, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 21, 8:00 PM ET and, June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 10xSquare | No / 99.9¢ | +522.73 | $522 | |
| 1y | 0x937Ef1340d304489235a6b655dAA4D58d54DdB42-1750096907513 | No / 99.9¢ | -317.73 | $317 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 10xSquare | No / 99.8¢ | +101.00 | $101 | |
| 1y | LBZero | No / 99.8¢ | -101.00 | $101 | |
| 1y | 0x937Ef1340d304489235a6b655dAA4D58d54DdB42-1750096907513 | No / 99.9¢ | -81.27 | $81.2 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -81.27 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +81.27 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | smurfeta | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | oj777 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -193.27 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.2¢ | +102.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | No / 99.2¢ | +88.00 | $87.3 | |
| 1y | cryptoaxel | No / 99.1¢ | +220.44 | $218 | |
| 1y | smurfeta | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | LBZero | Yes / 0.6¢ | -110.00 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | No / 99.4¢ | +44.00 | $43.7 | |
| 1y | LBZero | No / 99.2¢ | +101.00 | $100 | |
| 1y | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -104.00 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | Iwhant1M | Yes / 0.7¢ | +1,177.44 | $8.69 | |
| 1y | 0x937Ef1340d304489235a6b655dAA4D58d54DdB42-1750096907513 | No / 99.2¢ | +400.00 | $397 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.5¢ | -100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +552.00 | $0.55 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +278.12 | $0.28 | |
| 1y | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,057.37 | $2.06K |
1–25
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 27?
No 98%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29?
Yes 89%$0volume
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 28?
No 90%$0volume
Will Iran strike Israel in March?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?
No 100%$0volume