Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$12K
Txns
1,189
Traders
112
Fees
$16
Liquidity
$855
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$12K
Txns
1,189
Traders
112
Fees
$16
Liquidity
$855
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 77%$20Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 53%$4.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +17.00 | $3.36 | |
| 4d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 19.0¢ | -17.00 | $3.23 | |
| 4d | AJSV | Yes / 39.0¢ | +18.00 | $7.02 | |
| 4d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 37.8¢ | -18.00 | $6.81 | |
| 4d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 39.0¢ | +17.00 | $6.63 | |
| 4d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 37.8¢ | -17.00 | $6.43 | |
| 4d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 61.0¢ | -7.00 | $4.27 | |
| 4d | Glued | Yes / 37.8¢ | -7.00 | $2.65 | |
| 4d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 37.8¢ | -80.00 | $30.2 | |
| 4d | AJSV | Yes / 39.0¢ | +80.00 | $31.2 | |
| 9d | gummy-usb | Yes / 28.0¢ | +100.00 | $29 | |
| 9d | perseo | No / 72.0¢ | +100.00 | $72 | |
| 9d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 73.0¢ | +7.00 | $5.11 | |
| 9d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +7.00 | $1.96 | |
| 9d | Glued | Yes / 26.0¢ | -1.87 | $0.49 | |
| 9d | gummy-usb | Yes / 27.8¢ | +194.00 | $56 | |
| 9d | perseo | No / 72.0¢ | +178.62 | $129 | |
| 9d | ifYouDont | No / 74.0¢ | +13.51 | $10 | |
| 15d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 80.0¢ | -0.75 | $0.6 | |
| 15d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 81.0¢ | -12.93 | $10.5 | |
| 15d | TraderProMax | Yes / 20.0¢ | +25.00 | $5 | |
| 15d | KennyM | Yes / 18.9¢ | -38.68 | $7.3 | |
| 15d | KennyM | Yes / 19.2¢ | -6.51 | $1.25 | |
| 15d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 80.0¢ | -6.51 | $5.21 | |
| 19d | 0xDAC432f5A09b4B79ab5E259c30E51F8512E9a8c9-1762236145761 | No / 73.0¢ | -14.00 | $10.2 |
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