
Volume
$139K
Txns
2,580
Traders
589
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Trades
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 60%$307Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.2Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 80%$224Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 79%$5.31Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 89%$919Kvolume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$2.89Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | -312.62 | $0.31 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +688.64 | $688 | |
| 3mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | -1,501.76 | $1.5K | |
| 3mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 3mo | selectfund2 | No / 99.9¢ | +47.37 | $47.3 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +211.36 | $211 | |
| 3mo | Frieren68 | No / 99.9¢ | -440.73 | $440 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +182.00 | $182 | |
| 3mo | magicportland | Yes / 0.2¢ | +494.03 | $0.99 | |
| 3mo | Hoopcanada | No / 99.9¢ | -80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 3mo | magicportland | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.93 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Artvanderlee | No / 99.9¢ | -807.11 | $806 | |
| 3mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +2,391.07 | $2.39K | |
| 3mo | rocky42004 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | sadff | No / 99.1¢ | -1.00 | $0.99 | |
| 3mo | magicportland | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 3mo | sadff | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.0¢ | +248.40 | $246 | |
| 3mo | Fain | No / 99.4¢ | +30.00 | $29.8 | |
| 3mo | meowtai | No / 99.2¢ | +100.00 | $99.2 | |
| 3mo | 0x642720a3376Cc00d1d56a3dd4874A922798F56Bb-1765721593735 | No / 99.1¢ | -1,067.66 | $1.06K | |
| 3mo | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | -500.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | rocky42004 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -134.00 | $0.8 | |
| 3mo | magicportland | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.26 | $0.02 |
1–25