
Volume
$2M
Txns
5,888
Traders
833
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial or military ship between July 7 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship which are shot down or don't hit a ship will not be considered for this market. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 97%$71.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$15.4Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 99%$37.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$69.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 100%$4.98Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | dontkillmem8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | dontkillmem8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +345.95 | $346 | |
| 10mo | Artvanderlee | No / 99.9¢ | -345.95 | $346 | |
| 10mo | 6ar6aris | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +81.00 | $80.9 | |
| 10mo | carlalee | No / 99.9¢ | -81.00 | $80.9 | |
| 10mo | Nemo347 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +46.07 | $46 | |
| 10mo | 0x88dB1A13CC9d4d947BE3DCF77910b91705cbec51-1753598011488 | No / 99.9¢ | -46.07 | $46 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | luiscarlos714 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | raphael09 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 10mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 10mo | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +16.10 | $16.1 | |
| 10mo | mostlydavid | No / 99.9¢ | -16.10 | $16.1 | |
| 10mo | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 10mo | LaiChing-te | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 10mo | heathersuarez | No / 99.9¢ | -18.44 | $18.4 | |
| 10mo | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +18.44 | $18.4 | |
| 10mo | 21probs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25