
Volume
$66K
Txns
682
Traders
138
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between June 10, 1:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 74%$34.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.43Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 53%$28.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 96%$1.48Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.95Mvolume