
Volume
$571
Txns
47
Traders
27
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$41,702
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Yes 100% · $379K volume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $832K volume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $1M volume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100% · $993K volume
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 99% · $212K volume
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 100% · $163K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 75.0¢ | +40.00 | $30 | |
| 1h | TintoBlanco | Yes / 25.2¢ | +39.70 | $10 | |
| 2h | Fence-sitter | Yes / 25.0¢ | -20.00 | $5 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 75.0¢ | +30.00 | $22.5 | |
| 2h | lihood91211 | No / 74.3¢ | -50.00 | $37.1 | |
| 3h | 0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609 | Yes / 23.0¢ | -10.00 | $2.3 | |
| 3h | Kurald-Galain | Yes / 24.0¢ | -24.93 | $5.98 | |
| 3h | keybo | Yes / 24.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.8 | |
| 3h | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 24.0¢ | -68.75 | $16.5 | |
| 3h | lihood91211 | No / 76.0¢ | +50.00 | $38 | |
| 3h | cubandave29 | No / 76.0¢ | +30.00 | $22.8 | |
| 3h | 0xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-1767763983249 | Yes / 24.1¢ | +202.20 | $48.8 | |
| 5h | keybo | Yes / 23.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.6 | |
| 5h | Mich-ael18 | Yes / 22.3¢ | -20.00 | $4.46 | |
| 5h | Mich-ael18 | Yes / 23.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.6 | |
| 5h | aeroppp | Yes / 22.3¢ | -20.00 | $4.46 | |
| 5h | Fence-sitter | Yes / 22.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.4 | |
| 5h | aeroppp | Yes / 22.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.4 | |
| 5h | Kurald-Galain | Yes / 22.0¢ | +24.93 | $5.48 | |
| 5h | Mich-ael18 | Yes / 21.3¢ | -64.93 | $13.8 | |
| 6h | Mich-ael18 | Yes / 23.0¢ | +64.93 | $14.9 | |
| 6h | Indri | Yes / 22.3¢ | -64.93 | $14.5 | |
| 6h | Indri | Yes / 23.0¢ | +40.00 | $9.2 | |
| 6h | nani | Yes / 22.3¢ | -40.00 | $8.92 | |
| 6h | Indri | Yes / 23.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.6 |
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