
Volume
$60K
Txns
760
Traders
163
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 5:10 PM ET, and September 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until October 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | m0rt | Yes / 99.9¢ | +96.00 | $95.9 | |
| 10mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +96.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +99.78 | $99.7 | |
| 10mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +99.78 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +117.56 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +122.44 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | nchgbhy | Yes / 99.9¢ | +240.00 | $240 | |
| 10mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +122.44 | $0.12 | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +122.44 | $122 | |
| 10mo | nchgbhy | Yes / 99.8¢ | +506.37 | $505 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +506.37 | $1.01 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +40.26 | $0.08 | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +40.26 | $40.2 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +311.31 | $0.62 | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +311.31 | $311 | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +74.07 | $73.9 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +74.07 | $0.15 | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +80.99 | $80.8 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +80.99 | $0.16 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 2.5¢ | -101.00 | $2.52 | |
| 10mo | Wojtek | No / 0.5¢ | -100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10mo | Unknown888 | No / 0.4¢ | +5,586.24 | $20 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.6¢ | -101.00 | $0.61 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 2.6¢ | -101.00 | $2.63 | |
| 10mo | korveen | No / 0.2¢ | -541.89 | $1.08 |
1–25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 95%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 98%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 58%$0volume
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide…
No 99%$0volume