
Volume
$79K
Txns
2,414
Traders
309
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between October 30, 7:00 PM ET, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until December 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 8mo | MunzChris | No / 99.9¢ | -65.00 | $64.9 | |
| 8mo | Skogeru | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 8mo | 0xAEB56FD94F1b293d9092e0B3019C60D6e6b80d8e-1763402429546 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,230.82 | $1.23K | |
| 8mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +1,230.82 | $1.23K | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +747.00 | $0.75 | |
| 8mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +129.00 | $0.13 | |
| 8mo | grid-bot | No / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 8mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -39.69 | $39.7 | |
| 8mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +135.00 | $0.14 | |
| 8mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +142.00 | $0.14 | |
| 8mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +88.00 | $0.09 | |
| 8mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +1,962.69 | $1.96K | |
| 8mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +142.00 | $0.14 | |
| 8mo | 0x9f32...ac6ad5 | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 8mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 8mo | St3f | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.8¢ | +501.00 | $500 | |
| 8mo | 9... | Yes / 0.4¢ | -59.43 | $0.24 | |
| 8mo | amn123465 | No / 99.6¢ | -59.43 | $59.2 | |
| 8mo | 9... | Yes / 0.4¢ | -0.01 | $0 | |
| 8mo | sourse | No / 99.6¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | -9.53 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | sourse | No / 99.7¢ | -9.53 | $9.5 | |
| 8mo | Chims | Yes / 0.3¢ | -100.00 | $0.3 |
1–25
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher wo…
No 99%$0volume
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
No 75%$0volume
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
No 56%$0volume
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
No 99%$0volume