
Volume
$59K
Txns
1,019
Traders
228
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 1, 2025 2:00 PM ET, and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 79%$1.69Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 66%$1.43Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 91%$1.54Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 64%$942Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 93%$2.53Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
No 99%$676Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0xF9f1eb5E7EB14E9B32F854c03235773Cf92187bC-1764819688210 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.98 | $29 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +28.98 | $29 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | 9... | No / 0.7¢ | -23.57 | $0.16 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | -17.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +98.51 | $98.3 | |
| 6mo | Setandforgetson | No / 0.2¢ | +441.08 | $1 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | -102.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | JimmyJohnson000 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 6mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 6mo | LBZone | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 |
1–25