
Volume
$32K
Txns
1,019
Traders
204
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between August 22, 1:10 PM ET, and August 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until September 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | giannis0 | No / 99.8¢ | -13.63 | $13.6 | |
| 11mo | HotDogs | No / 99.8¢ | +13.63 | $13.6 | |
| 11mo | yzh101 | No / 99.9¢ | -211.88 | $212 | |
| 11mo | Xinhua-News | No / 99.9¢ | +211.88 | $212 | |
| 11mo | exit-liqudity | No / 99.9¢ | +173.00 | $173 | |
| 11mo | yzh101 | No / 99.9¢ | -173.00 | $173 | |
| 11mo | yzh101 | No / 99.9¢ | -432.55 | $432 | |
| 11mo | ondra123 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -484.09 | $0.54 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.8¢ | -51.54 | $51.4 | |
| 11mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.1¢ | +200.00 | $198 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.0¢ | +51.54 | $51 | |
| 11mo | basedcigany | No / 99.1¢ | -251.54 | $249 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.9¢ | -80.87 | $80.8 | |
| 11mo | dpnd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -156.20 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.9¢ | -75.33 | $75.3 | |
| 11mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.8¢ | +102.75 | $103 | |
| 11mo | basedcigany | No / 98.1¢ | +100.00 | $98.1 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 11mo | amused85 | No / 98.7¢ | -455.16 | $449 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 99.1¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 11mo | basedcigany | No / 98.0¢ | +151.54 | $149 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.7¢ | +12.00 | $12 | |
| 11mo | Chims | No / 99.0¢ | +18.87 | $18.7 | |
| 11mo | gdyhv | No / 99.8¢ | -97.25 | $97.1 | |
| 11mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.8¢ | +97.25 | $97.1 |
1–25
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 98%$0volume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
No 99%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
Yes 57%$0volume