
Volume
$54K
Txns
985
Traders
208
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by Alibaba has a higher arena score than all DeepSeek models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best DeepSeek arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | LinabellAccountStolen | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +537.31 | $536 | |
| 1y | 200w | No / 99.8¢ | -537.31 | $536 | |
| 1y | 01-01-40 | No / 99.8¢ | -215.62 | $215 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +215.62 | $215 | |
| 1y | 0x16EF8EaaC2a7D8C45EB64d1268feADAAF94592B6-1734445939656 | No / 99.8¢ | -4.53 | $4.52 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +4.53 | $4.52 | |
| 1y | 0x175CE751202BBFEC3293892C7eEA4B5bF4C61ee0-1740429778747 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +125.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | +125.00 | $124 | |
| 1y | 0x175CE751202BBFEC3293892C7eEA4B5bF4C61ee0-1740429778747 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +293.95 | $2 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.7¢ | -51.58 | $0.36 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | +142.37 | $141 | |
| 1y | DDoNN | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 1y | dingdangcat | No / 99.9¢ | -377.88 | $378 | |
| 1y | frogiue | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.9¢ | +477.88 | $477 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | frogiue | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | taerv534 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,888.04 | $3.78 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +1,888.04 | $1.88K | |
| 1y | taerv534 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +611.96 | $1.22 | |
| 1y | LinabellAccountStolen | No / 99.8¢ | +611.96 | $611 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | +84.87 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | No / 99.6¢ | -277.88 | $277 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume