
Volume
$901K
Txns
2,971
Traders
588
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Six candidates of the German party AfD (Alternative for Germany) in North Rhine-Westphalia—four official contenders and two reserve list candidates—died between mid‑August and early September 2025, ahead of the September 14 local elections, prompting ballot reprints and political controversy. This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming at least one of those deaths involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the German government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any German government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Yes 100%$557Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No 100%$386Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
No 100%$242Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
No 100%$284Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.19Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 100%$154Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.81 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +73.95 | $73.9 | |
| 5mo | stringerr | No / 99.9¢ | -33.14 | $33.1 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.03 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | stringerr | No / 99.9¢ | +24.03 | $24 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.02 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Ross1212 | No / 99.8¢ | +18.02 | $18 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.25 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +15.70 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Ross1212 | No / 99.8¢ | +35.95 | $35.9 | |
| 5mo | nicoco89 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -25.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +25.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | BurnShorts | Yes / 0.1¢ | -333.33 | $0.33 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +143.99 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +124.00 | $0.12 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.84 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.50 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | andiyo | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 5mo | -a- | No / 99.7¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1.00 | $0 |
1–25