
Volume
$28K
Txns
551
Traders
131
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 1, 2025
On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 35% tariff to all imports from Canada beginning August 1 (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/trump-us-canada-imports-35-tariff-trade-war-mark-carney-rcna218182) This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 35% tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 35% tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
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No 97%$27.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$20.9Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Com04 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -4.79 | $4.77 | |
| 10mo | 3.dn9.govna | Yes / 99.5¢ | +4.79 | $4.77 | |
| 10mo | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +87.30 | $0.09 | |
| 10mo | JaidenAnimations | Yes / 99.9¢ | +87.30 | $87.2 | |
| 10mo | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10mo | JaidenAnimations | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,793.79 | $3.79K | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +2,466.00 | $2.47 | |
| 10mo | Lkens | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.02 | $10 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 99.7¢ | -100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 10mo | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +112.70 | $0.11 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 99.5¢ | -5.07 | $5.04 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Bletka | Yes / 99.5¢ | +100.50 | $100 | |
| 10mo | LBZero | Yes / 99.5¢ | -100.50 | $100 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.7¢ | -10.02 | $0.07 | |
| 10mo | aricraft | Yes / 99.3¢ | -155.47 | $154 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.7¢ | -101.00 | $0.71 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.7¢ | -44.45 | $0.31 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.6¢ | -48.33 | $0.29 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.5¢ | -101.00 | $0.51 | |
| 10mo | LBZero | Yes / 99.4¢ | +81.90 | $81.4 | |
| 10mo | Echelonprt | Yes / 99.5¢ | -800.00 | $796 |
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