
Volume
$53K
Txns
852
Traders
236
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States falls below 6.00% at any point between October 6 and October 31, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason there is no data point for this market's resolution date on either of the sources listed below, information for the nearest previous available date will be used. The primary resolution source for this market is Freddie Mac, specifically https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. The data that will be looked at is the "30Y FRM" as indicated on the graph titled "Primary Mortgage Market Survey®". If the resolution source is unavailable, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US will be looked at instead. If both sources are unavailable other credible reporting may be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$18.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$18.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$6.88Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$5.99Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 76%$3.72Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 72%$1Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ppalme1 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +10.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | VorpalQuark | No / 99.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 1y | qwrgh3qwg | Yes / 0.5¢ | +2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 1y | 96969696 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | agomez | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | jida | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | +3,798.57 | $3.79K | |
| 1y | jida | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,274.82 | $2.27 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,174.75 | $1.17K | |
| 1y | Anjun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +333.00 | $0.33 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | Stoop | No / 99.5¢ | -200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | Epsilon | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 0.8¢ | -4.87 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | lck-t1 | No / 99.5¢ | -9.87 | $9.82 | |
| 1y | jida | No / 99.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | ZaorBIG | No / 99.9¢ | +35.04 | $35 | |
| 1y | stonee12 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 |
1–25