
Volume
$22K
Txns
584
Traders
133
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 1, 2025
On July 7, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 25% reciprocal tariff to all imports from Japan beginning August 1. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 25% tariff on imports into the United States from Japan goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% tariff on imports into the United States from Japan goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Japan will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0y | Lkens | No / 99.9¢ | -10.02 | $10 | |
| 0y | basedcigany | No / 99.9¢ | -1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 0y | BrightTiger | No / 99.9¢ | +2,754.10 | $2.75K | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,743.08 | $1.74 | |
| 0y | wehappyfeew | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.04 | $0 | |
| 0y | Lkens | No / 99.9¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.02 | $0.01 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 0y | clementsmarissa | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.82 | $0.04 | |
| 0y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.82 | $0.04 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +702.01 | $0.7 | |
| 0y | basedcigany | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 0y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 0y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +198.99 | $0.2 | |
| 0y | Disaire | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 0y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 0y | 50cents | Yes / 0.4¢ | -101.00 | $0.4 | |
| 0y | Jerzy | No / 99.6¢ | -101.00 | $101 | |
| 0y | Jerzy | No / 99.6¢ | -10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 0y | QQQQQ | No / 99.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 0y | Jerzy | No / 99.6¢ | -18.00 | $17.9 | |
| 0y | QQQQQ | No / 99.6¢ | +18.00 | $17.9 | |
| 0y | QQQQQ | No / 99.6¢ | +18.00 | $17.9 |
1–25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
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No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 57%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume