2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$82K
Txns
1,253
Traders
203
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$82K
Txns
1,253
Traders
203
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-under-50-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x73627B9C9642628dB213d3dB365C10dd08449E04-1773438742627 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | rette33 | No / 6.6¢ | -0.98 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | belovedbasic | Yes / 93.4¢ | -0.98 | $0.92 | |
| 3mo | belovedbasic | Yes / 99.9¢ | -18.02 | $18 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +18.02 | $18 | |
| 3mo | Li-Cho | No / 1.2¢ | +5.15 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | KimiTalibantonelli | Yes / 98.8¢ | +5.15 | $5.09 | |
| 3mo | coty-illoperspiciatis | Yes / 91.4¢ | -5.00 | $4.57 | |
| 3mo | adspokposs | No / 8.6¢ | -5.00 | $0.43 | |
| 3mo | flexer78 | No / 1.2¢ | -69.43 | $0.83 | |
| 3mo | Li-Cho | No / 1.2¢ | +69.43 | $0.83 | |
| 3mo | adspokposs | No / 1.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | 0x9d8c...2b08ec | Yes / 98.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.93 | |
| 3mo | 0xebb2...9d20bc | Yes / 98.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.93 | |
| 3mo | adspokposs | No / 1.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | yuriOrlov | Yes / 99.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 3mo | Li-Cho | No / 0.9¢ | +13.42 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | adspokposs | No / 0.9¢ | -7.42 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | 0xed5b...1d8e60 | No / 0.2¢ | +1,995.00 | $3.99 | |
| 3mo | DiamondHands11 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,995.00 | $1.99K | |
| 3mo | coty-illoperspiciatis | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 3mo | 0xed5b...1d8e60 | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | manncoman | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | yuriOrlov | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 |
1–25
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