2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$13K
Txns
364
Traders
95
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$13K
Txns
364
Traders
95
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-over-90-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | 0x1C5420b5f22d2c08294bE7e0380EBed0221bFCd4-1774573280415 | No / 99.5¢ | -1.10 | $1.09 | |
| 2mo | 0xA3c2EC158F222F3F4f5F4f57b113d761a4D3df3d-1774679893278 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.10 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0x29367D86eF1432bfBBEb266BEc3b72f1Ce090a12-1770124606024 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | JonnyA | No / 99.9¢ | +29.00 | $29 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | BlackSheepWall | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | 0xA3c2EC158F222F3F4f5F4f57b113d761a4D3df3d-1774679893278 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 2mo | ultralisk | Yes / 0.3¢ | +410.00 | $1.23 | |
| 2mo | JonnyA | No / 99.7¢ | +430.00 | $429 | |
| 2mo | Bnbt | No / 99.7¢ | +8.04 | $8.02 | |
| 2mo | rette33 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +8.04 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | rette33 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +9.88 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | jeterefaty | No / 99.8¢ | +110.25 | $110 | |
| 2mo | ultralisk | Yes / 0.2¢ | +83.18 | $0.17 | |
| 2mo | rette33 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +17.19 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | rette33 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0x1C5420b5f22d2c08294bE7e0380EBed0221bFCd4-1774573280415 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 2mo | rette33 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +5.10 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | rette33 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +7.16 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | ultralisk | Yes / 0.5¢ | +183.00 | $0.92 |
1–25
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