2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$59K
Txns
1,046
Traders
179
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$59K
Txns
1,046
Traders
179
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-house-election-republican-odds-under-10-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | swooshbanner | No / 99.9¢ | -19.00 | $19 | |
| 2mo | markb0t11 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +6.55 | $6.54 | |
| 2mo | 0x95cEf3c2466f7bF9349500Ee7C874ADAEf95981a-1772600612527 | No / 99.9¢ | -6.55 | $6.54 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +1,210.00 | $1.21K | |
| 2mo | LaborCreatesValue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | TonyBeetZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 2mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +482.22 | $0.48 | |
| 2mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +10,807.21 | $10.8K | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | RememberAmalek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.99 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Olivias45 | No / 99.4¢ | -15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.6¢ | -15.00 | $0.09 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.12 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.6¢ | -25.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | Ameliak7 | No / 99.4¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 2mo | Westong5f4 | No / 99.4¢ | -25.00 | $24.9 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.6¢ | -15.00 | $0.09 |
1–25
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