
Volume
$238K
Txns
2,968
Traders
277
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2025 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record. Note: If 2025 September is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2025 is provided by NASA by November 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 63%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 98%$0volume
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31,…
Yes 100%$0volume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | lain91 | No / 99.9¢ | -21.35 | $21.3 | |
| 8mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +21.35 | $21.3 | |
| 8mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -49.99 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.99 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | aldiJames | No / 99.0¢ | -11.00 | $10.9 | |
| 8mo | quick-turtle | No / 95.3¢ | -43.00 | $41 | |
| 8mo | aenews2 | No / 99.0¢ | +11.00 | $10.9 | |
| 8mo | JoE | No / 95.0¢ | +39.60 | $37.6 | |
| 8mo | aenews2 | No / 99.0¢ | +3.40 | $3.37 | |
| 8mo | octofii | Yes / 1.0¢ | +500.00 | $5 | |
| 8mo | aenews2 | No / 99.0¢ | +7,874.94 | $7.8K | |
| 8mo | octofii | Yes / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 2.0¢ | +84.94 | $1.7 | |
| 8mo | acs007 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5,000.00 | $50 | |
| 8mo | samhain4ik | Yes / 1.0¢ | +2,090.00 | $20.9 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 2.0¢ | +4.45 | $0.09 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 2.0¢ | +9.95 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | 0x4821...fb3f03 | No / 98.0¢ | +9.95 | $9.75 | |
| 8mo | 0x92c9...1164d1 | No / 98.0¢ | +4.45 | $4.36 | |
| 8mo | samhain4ik | Yes / 5.0¢ | +391.99 | $19.6 | |
| 8mo | 0x330Ca38BDD337efED19a9770829533F86f63b816-1763101243251 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +1,864.32 | $74.6 | |
| 8mo | aviato | No / 95.0¢ | -1,000.00 | $950 | |
| 8mo | samhain4ik | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $20 | |
| 8mo | octofii | Yes / 6.0¢ | +266.38 | $16 | |
| 8mo | samhain4ik | Yes / 3.0¢ | +100.00 | $3 |
1–25