
Volume
$107K
Txns
954
Traders
293
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if the data for August 2025 is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,246.70 | $1.25 | |
| 10mo | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +555.00 | $0.56 | |
| 10mo | Davidpetrovic | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,464.00 | $1.46 | |
| 10mo | Slaveukr163 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | rizn | No / 99.9¢ | +3,666.70 | $3.66K | |
| 10mo | m0rt | No / 99.9¢ | +45.00 | $45 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +531.59 | $0.53 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +310.30 | $0.31 | |
| 10mo | Kim-Jong-Un | No / 99.9¢ | +888.89 | $888 | |
| 10mo | basedcigany | No / 99.8¢ | -2,096.23 | $2.09K | |
| 10mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | No / 99.8¢ | +2,096.23 | $2.09K | |
| 10mo | basedcigany | No / 99.8¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 10mo | DDDASHEE | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 10mo | 0xd7d5...4caf7f | No / 99.8¢ | +12.00 | $12 | |
| 10mo | basedcigany | No / 99.8¢ | -12.00 | $12 | |
| 10mo | basedcigany | No / 99.8¢ | -880.39 | $879 | |
| 10mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | No / 99.8¢ | +880.39 | $879 | |
| 10mo | basedcigany | No / 99.8¢ | -50.10 | $50 | |
| 10mo | sandw | No / 99.8¢ | +50.10 | $50 | |
| 10mo | basedcigany | No / 99.8¢ | -13.03 | $13 | |
| 10mo | FrankGrimes | No / 99.8¢ | +13.03 | $13 | |
| 10mo | ilnitskiy | Yes / 0.6¢ | +333.33 | $2 |
1–25
2025 April hottest on record?
No 100%$0volume
2025 May hottest on record?
No 100%$0volume
2025 August second hottest on record?
No 100%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?
No 100%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?
No 100%$0volume
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?
No 100%$0volume