
Volume
$1M
Txns
6,103
Traders
1,227
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior October when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for October 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for October, and if 2024 October is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 October is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 98%$0volume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
No 99%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
Yes 57%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.8¢ | +425.77 | $425 | |
| 1y | FacuGOLAZO | No / 99.8¢ | -425.77 | $425 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.8¢ | +105.26 | $105 | |
| 1y | Konkor | No / 99.8¢ | -105.26 | $105 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +11.17 | $11.1 | |
| 1y | volcanicviper | No / 99.7¢ | -11.17 | $11.1 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +15.54 | $15.5 | |
| 1y | Bibi564 | No / 99.7¢ | -15.54 | $15.5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +118.25 | $118 | |
| 1y | SpookyEgoz | No / 99.7¢ | -118.25 | $118 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.7¢ | +545.63 | $544 | |
| 1y | Mrstetson | No / 99.7¢ | -545.63 | $544 | |
| 1y | JimSimons | No / 99.6¢ | -9.63 | $9.59 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.6¢ | +9.63 | $9.59 | |
| 1y | hackender | No / 99.6¢ | -2.20 | $2.19 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.6¢ | +2.20 | $2.19 | |
| 1y | efren1983 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9,967.96 | $9.97 | |
| 1y | poly0xd41 | No / 99.9¢ | +10,324.35 | $10.3K | |
| 1y | AndresLeee | No / 99.9¢ | -356.39 | $356 | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 96.5¢ | +28.57 | $27.6 | |
| 1y | 0xBcB0973Fc59350D1Ca418dff438397bab9DC0449-1723364024090 | Yes / 3.5¢ | +28.57 | $1 | |
| 1y | cziku | No / 99.9¢ | +32.03 | $32 | |
| 1y | efren1983 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Issss | No / 99.8¢ | -38.37 | $38.3 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -25.00 | $24.9 |
1–25