
Volume
$508K
Txns
3,689
Traders
883
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior December when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for December 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for December, and if 2024 December is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 December is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Ilchuk | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x279d4E19D5Be7Bc6d25F3C6777B6802B47AFbC0e-1727574846421 | No / 99.9¢ | +966.30 | $965 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | Yes / 0.1¢ | -33.70 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | mak50d | No / 99.9¢ | -100.30 | $100 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.30 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 0x279d4E19D5Be7Bc6d25F3C6777B6802B47AFbC0e-1727574846421 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | semerkasto | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,938.90 | $4.94 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | Yes / 0.1¢ | +234.00 | $0.23 | |
| 1y | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | +750.00 | $0.75 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +5,972.90 | $5.97K | |
| 1y | semerkasto | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,061.10 | $5.06 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +5,690.45 | $5.68K | |
| 1y | fdhfghfgjgh111 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +629.35 | $0.63 | |
| 1y | ra1onych | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | fdhfghfgjgh111 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,370.65 | $1.37 | |
| 1y | 0x6332...966a05 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | MakerOne | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | piperc11qa | No / 99.9¢ | -3.95 | $3.95 | |
| 1y | chertilliano228 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | lilpimk | Yes / 0.1¢ | +714.00 | $0.71 | |
| 1y | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +3,318.27 | $3.31K |
1–25
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.7Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 70%$3.12Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$334Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
No 52%$34.1Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
No 95%$2.87Kvolume