
Volume
$35K
Txns
406
Traders
113
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 4, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 4, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.8¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | catwithtie | No / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +896.38 | $895 | |
| 1y | CanadianGoose | No / 99.9¢ | -896.38 | $895 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +23.89 | $23.9 | |
| 1y | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -23.89 | $23.9 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +9.73 | $9.72 | |
| 1y | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -9.73 | $9.72 | |
| 1y | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 1y | lisa56 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 1y | Utuel | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | TheComandanteCobra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | TheComandanteCobra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.40 | $0.02 |
1–25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 96%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026…
No 99%$0volume
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes 70%$0volume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Augus…
No 96%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)…
No 78%$0volume