
Volume
$25K
Txns
663
Traders
110
Fees
$0
Ends
May 16, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 16, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$18.3Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.09Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.91Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 911TurboS | Yes / 99.9¢ | +55.36 | $55.3 | |
| 1y | APTX4869x | Yes / 99.9¢ | -55.36 | $55.3 | |
| 1y | maora | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.47 | $8.46 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.47 | $8.46 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +595.00 | $594 | |
| 1y | 1800stopgambling | Yes / 99.9¢ | -595.00 | $594 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +125.00 | $125 | |
| 1y | onlyprofits | Yes / 99.9¢ | -125.00 | $125 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Yes / 99.9¢ | +259.93 | $260 | |
| 1y | Jackvillow | Yes / 99.9¢ | -259.93 | $260 | |
| 1y | ChocolateSTAR | Yes / 97.0¢ | -59.72 | $57.9 | |
| 1y | Jackvillow | Yes / 97.0¢ | +59.72 | $57.9 | |
| 1y | Dufu | No / 5.0¢ | +200.21 | $10 | |
| 1y | Jackvillow | Yes / 95.0¢ | +200.21 | $190 | |
| 1y | Dufu | No / 5.0¢ | +295.00 | $14.8 | |
| 1y | 1800stopgambling | Yes / 95.0¢ | +295.00 | $280 | |
| 1y | Dufu | No / 5.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | johnyjo | Yes / 95.0¢ | +1.05 | $1 | |
| 1y | Dufu | No / 5.0¢ | +146.22 | $7.31 | |
| 1y | Pafuncio | Yes / 95.0¢ | +146.22 | $139 | |
| 1y | johnyjo | Yes / 95.0¢ | +1.05 | $1 | |
| 1y | Dufu | No / 5.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Rocky92 | No / 5.1¢ | +26.00 | $1.33 | |
| 1y | Dufu | No / 5.0¢ | +274.00 | $13.7 | |
| 1y | 1800stopgambling | Yes / 95.0¢ | +300.00 | $285 |
1–25