
Volume
$25K
Txns
448
Traders
90
Fees
$0
Ends
May 9, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 9, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +76.92 | $76.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | IdkMyName | Yes / 99.9¢ | -476.92 | $476 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | maora | Yes / 99.9¢ | -23.08 | $23.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +23.08 | $23.1 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.7¢ | +666.00 | $664 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.3¢ | +666.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,378.31 | $1.38K | |
| 1y | xs020105 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 99.7¢ | -112.99 | $113 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | mysterygambler216 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,125.32 | $1.12K | |
| 1y | seneca1337 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +2.01 | $2 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 99.7¢ | -2.01 | $2 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | baaaaaahhhhhfarmmmm | Yes / 99.6¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 99.6¢ | -100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 1y | baaaaaahhhhhfarmmmm | Yes / 98.5¢ | +200.00 | $197 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 97.4¢ | +100.00 | $97.4 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 1.4¢ | -100.00 | $1.4 | |
| 1y | x26 | No / 3.0¢ | -45.07 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 98.4¢ | +103.00 | $101 |
1–25
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?
Yes 79%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
No 92%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 5%?
Yes 96%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 6%?
Yes 95%$0volume
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?
No 94%$0volume
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
No 86%$0volume