
Volume
$15K
Txns
495
Traders
132
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 22, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 22, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +2,007.66 | $2.01K | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.2¢ | +130.00 | $0.26 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,772.66 | $1.77 | |
| 11mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | Starheel23 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -44.00 | $0.44 | |
| 11mo | rocky42002 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +44.00 | $0.44 | |
| 11mo | gpt-new | Yes / 1.1¢ | +29.99 | $0.33 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.34 | $0 | |
| 11mo | DL10 | No / 98.9¢ | +30.33 | $30 | |
| 11mo | gpt-new | Yes / 4.0¢ | +4.00 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | Starheel23 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -4.00 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | gpt-new | Yes / 4.0¢ | +26.00 | $1.04 | |
| 11mo | Starheel23 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -26.00 | $1.04 | |
| 11mo | Starheel23 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -26.00 | $1.3 | |
| 11mo | maxwerywell | Yes / 5.0¢ | +26.00 | $1.3 | |
| 11mo | gpt-new | Yes / 24.0¢ | +30.00 | $7.2 | |
| 11mo | maxwerywell | Yes / 27.0¢ | +9.46 | $2.55 | |
| 11mo | Qualitative | No / 78.4¢ | +607.44 | $476 | |
| 11mo | maxwerywell | No / 77.0¢ | -77.98 | $60 | |
| 11mo | VibeTrader | Yes / 21.0¢ | +300.00 | $63 | |
| 11mo | gpt-new | No / 76.0¢ | -60.00 | $45.6 | |
| 11mo | MrMikhas | No / 80.0¢ | -130.00 | $104 |
1–25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)…
No 78%$0volume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on A…
No 90%$0volume