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This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
| Market | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hanna | 29% | $0 | $145 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Dolly | 28% | $0 | $104 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Cristobal | 28% | $0 | $41.9 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Vicky | 8% | $0 | $216 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Fay | 6% | $0 | $47.9 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Sally | 3% | $0 | $135 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Edouard | 3% | $0 | $56 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Kyle | 2% | $0 | $187 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Gonzalo | 2% | $0 | $46 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Wilfred | 2% | $0 | $165 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Other | 2% | $0 | $135 | Dec 2, 2026 |
Rene | 1% | $0 | $124 | Dec 1, 2026 |
Polymarket Explorer event detail page for What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?