Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Open9 markets·Ends May 26, 2026

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$96K

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Texas Senate Politics Paxton Elections

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Markets

Market
1.2–1.5M	27%	$445	$2.21K
0.9–1.2M	25%	$32.7	$1.63K
0.6–0.9M	12%	$30.5	$2.04K
1.5–1.8M	6%	$24.2	$1.67K
<0.6M	3%	$24.1	$1.67K
1.8–2.1M	1%	$0	$1.86K
2.4–2.7M	1%	$10	$3.64K
2.1–2.4M	1%	$24	$3.45K
2.7M+	0%	$49.4	$3.8K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 brex2	Yes / 25.0¢	+16.28	$4.19
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 jijitmu	Yes / 25.0¢	-16.28	$4.07
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	tomatosauce2	No / 99.7¢	-24.00	$23.9
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 2.9¢	+24.06	$0.7
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 86.7¢	+24.32	$21.2
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 88.0¢	+24.29	$21.5
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 26.9¢	+24.66	$6.63
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 97.1¢	+24.06	$23.4
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 73.1¢	+24.66	$18.2
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 Colala	Yes / 12.0¢	+24.29	$2.91
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 jijitmu	Yes / 13.0¢	+16.87	$2.19
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 14.0¢	+7.45	$1.04
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 Hourglass	No / 99.7¢	+24.00	$23.9
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 93.9¢	+24.14	$22.7
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	Yes / 6.0¢	+7.75	$0.47
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 98.9¢	+10.00	$9.89
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.1¢	+10.00	$0.11
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 PPMT	Yes / 0.8¢	+24.01	$0.19
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 6.1¢	+16.39	$1
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 99.2¢	+24.01	$23.8
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 fm14	Yes / 0.4¢	+100.00	$0.4
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	cwc909	Yes / 0.4¢	-200.00	$0.77
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 Biver52	Yes / 0.4¢	+100.00	$0.4
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 28.0¢	-5.71	$1.6
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 Claude0001	Yes / 28.0¢	+10.71	$3.09
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 romanew-3-15	Yes / 28.0¢	-5.00	$1.4
2d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.4¢	+5.00	$0.07
2d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 CuckOne69	Yes / 1.3¢	-5.00	$0.07
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.4¢	+30.00	$0.12
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 Colala	Yes / 0.4¢	-30.00	$0.12
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	Yes / 1.4¢	+39.42	$0.57
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 romanew-1-new	Yes / 1.4¢	-21.32	$0.3
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 PollyForge	Yes / 1.4¢	-18.00	$0.25
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 rx8549o867549	Yes / 1.4¢	-0.10	$0
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 36714	No / 79.7¢	-30.24	$24.1
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 scoville	Yes / 19.7¢	-30.24	$5.94
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 HerrieDavis	Yes / 56.9¢	-24.00	$13.7
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 iuhgfd	No / 42.1¢	-24.00	$10.1
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 iuhgfd	Yes / 20.3¢	-10.00	$2.03
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 21.0¢	+10.00	$2.1
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 AJSV	No / 42.9¢	+1.00	$0.43
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 iuhgfd	No / 41.9¢	-1.00	$0.42
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	No / 99.4¢	-18.00	$17.9
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 huyewell	Yes / 0.6¢	-13.00	$0.08
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 rx8549o867549	Yes / 0.6¢	-5.00	$0.03
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 3.4¢	+29.42	$1
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	No / 96.6¢	+29.42	$28.5
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.0¢	+5.00	$0.05
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 CuckOne69	Yes / 1.0¢	-5.00	$0.05
6d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 PollyForge	Yes / 24.0¢	-6.67	$1.6

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 brex2	Yes / 25.0¢	+16.28	$4.19
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 jijitmu	Yes / 25.0¢	-16.28	$4.07
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	tomatosauce2	No / 99.7¢	-24.00	$23.9
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 2.9¢	+24.06	$0.7
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 86.7¢	+24.32	$21.2
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 88.0¢	+24.29	$21.5
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 26.9¢	+24.66	$6.63
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 97.1¢	+24.06	$23.4
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 73.1¢	+24.66	$18.2
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 Colala	Yes / 12.0¢	+24.29	$2.91
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 jijitmu	Yes / 13.0¢	+16.87	$2.19
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 14.0¢	+7.45	$1.04
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 Hourglass	No / 99.7¢	+24.00	$23.9
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 93.9¢	+24.14	$22.7
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	Yes / 6.0¢	+7.75	$0.47
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 98.9¢	+10.00	$9.89
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.1¢	+10.00	$0.11
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 PPMT	Yes / 0.8¢	+24.01	$0.19
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 6.1¢	+16.39	$1
17h	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 Hourglass	No / 99.2¢	+24.01	$23.8
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 fm14	Yes / 0.4¢	+100.00	$0.4
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	cwc909	Yes / 0.4¢	-200.00	$0.77
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 Biver52	Yes / 0.4¢	+100.00	$0.4
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 28.0¢	-5.71	$1.6
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 Claude0001	Yes / 28.0¢	+10.71	$3.09
1d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 romanew-3-15	Yes / 28.0¢	-5.00	$1.4
2d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.4¢	+5.00	$0.07
2d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 CuckOne69	Yes / 1.3¢	-5.00	$0.07
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.4¢	+30.00	$0.12
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?	0 Colala	Yes / 0.4¢	-30.00	$0.12
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	Yes / 1.4¢	+39.42	$0.57
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 romanew-1-new	Yes / 1.4¢	-21.32	$0.3
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 PollyForge	Yes / 1.4¢	-18.00	$0.25
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	0 rx8549o867549	Yes / 1.4¢	-0.10	$0
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 36714	No / 79.7¢	-30.24	$24.1
3d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 scoville	Yes / 19.7¢	-30.24	$5.94
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 HerrieDavis	Yes / 56.9¢	-24.00	$13.7
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 iuhgfd	No / 42.1¢	-24.00	$10.1
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 iuhgfd	Yes / 20.3¢	-10.00	$2.03
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 21.0¢	+10.00	$2.1
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 AJSV	No / 42.9¢	+1.00	$0.43
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?	0 iuhgfd	No / 41.9¢	-1.00	$0.42
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	No / 99.4¢	-18.00	$17.9
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 huyewell	Yes / 0.6¢	-13.00	$0.08
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?	0 rx8549o867549	Yes / 0.6¢	-5.00	$0.03
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 AJSV	Yes / 3.4¢	+29.42	$1
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	tomatosauce2	No / 96.6¢	+29.42	$28.5
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.0¢	+5.00	$0.05
5d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?	0 CuckOne69	Yes / 1.0¢	-5.00	$0.05
6d	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	0 PollyForge	Yes / 24.0¢	-6.67	$1.6

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

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Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

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Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

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Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

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Probability history

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