Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

Open5 markets·Ends Jul 31, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$77K

Txns

2,517

Traders

459

Fees

$204

Measles Pandemics Science Weather

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Markets

Market				Ends
2350	81%	$1.52K	$1.44K	Jul 31, 2026
2380	28%	$54.8	$421	Jul 31, 2026
2400	2%	$535	$1.26K	Jul 31, 2026
2200	YesResolved	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026
2300	YesResolved	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
36m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 81.0¢	+14.88	$12.1
36m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+35.86	$28.7
36m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PenniesDozer	No / 19.7¢	+50.74	$10.3
37m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 81.0¢	+51.82	$42
37m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	No / 19.0¢	+51.82	$10.2
38m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	No / 19.0¢	+51.82	$10.2
38m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 81.0¢	+51.82	$42
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0xf528...127e5b	Yes / 88.0¢	-11.00	$9.68
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 88.0¢	-30.10	$26.5
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0xd851...8964d7	Yes / 88.0¢	+56.82	$50.7
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 pootytherewardfarmer	No / 12.0¢	+15.72	$1.89
5h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 botV260720	Yes / 79.4¢	-5.00	$3.97
5h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+5.00	$4
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+0.20	$0.16
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 FFAARRGG	No / 20.0¢	+25.00	$5.16
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+24.80	$19.8
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 20.0¢	+99.80	$20.6
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+99.80	$79.8
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	Elalbe	Yes / 78.0¢	+18.72	$14.6
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 22.0¢	+18.72	$4.25
8h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 76dgdf	Yes / 2.1¢	-3.61	$0.08
8h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0x3f3558c54bdF6446B6Eb0C266EbD3772cC7FA3BD-1768398307825	No / 97.8¢	-3.61	$3.53
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	No / 21.0¢	+30.53	$6.61
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	No / 21.0¢	-30.53	$6.41
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 planktonXD	No / 19.0¢	-1.88	$0.36
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 79.7¢	-82.07	$65.4
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 82.0¢	+14.17	$11.6
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	No / 20.0¢	-66.02	$13.2
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 botV260720	Yes / 85.0¢	+5.00	$4.25
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 84.5¢	-5.00	$4.22
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 82.0¢	+30.00	$24.6
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 81.4¢	-30.00	$24.4
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 82.0¢	+50.00	$41
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 81.4¢	-50.00	$40.7
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 82.0¢	+50.00	$41
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 81.4¢	-50.00	$40.7
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.2¢	+27.12	$0.33
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	Roro22	No / 98.7¢	+67.12	$66.3
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.3¢	+40.00	$0.52
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.2¢	+65.31	$0.78
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	Roro22	No / 98.6¢	+451.41	$445
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0x812b...f5bbcf	No / 98.0¢	-13.20	$12.9
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.4¢	+100.00	$1.4
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.7¢	+9.90	$0.17
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes / 1.6¢	+23.00	$0.37
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.3¢	+100.00	$1.3
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.8¢	+40.00	$0.72
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.5¢	+100.00	$1.5
12h	Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 28.0¢	+11.35	$3.18
12h	Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0x1B8838C33a22D7b787d2FFeBB7cC5A104d3ea191-1776602334499	Yes / 27.0¢	+15.36	$4.15

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
36m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 81.0¢	+14.88	$12.1
36m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+35.86	$28.7
36m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PenniesDozer	No / 19.7¢	+50.74	$10.3
37m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 81.0¢	+51.82	$42
37m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	No / 19.0¢	+51.82	$10.2
38m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	No / 19.0¢	+51.82	$10.2
38m	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 81.0¢	+51.82	$42
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0xf528...127e5b	Yes / 88.0¢	-11.00	$9.68
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 88.0¢	-30.10	$26.5
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0xd851...8964d7	Yes / 88.0¢	+56.82	$50.7
3h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 pootytherewardfarmer	No / 12.0¢	+15.72	$1.89
5h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 botV260720	Yes / 79.4¢	-5.00	$3.97
5h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+5.00	$4
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+0.20	$0.16
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 FFAARRGG	No / 20.0¢	+25.00	$5.16
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+24.80	$19.8
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 20.0¢	+99.80	$20.6
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b3t4t35t	Yes / 80.0¢	+99.80	$79.8
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	Elalbe	Yes / 78.0¢	+18.72	$14.6
6h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 22.0¢	+18.72	$4.25
8h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 76dgdf	Yes / 2.1¢	-3.61	$0.08
8h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0x3f3558c54bdF6446B6Eb0C266EbD3772cC7FA3BD-1768398307825	No / 97.8¢	-3.61	$3.53
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	No / 21.0¢	+30.53	$6.61
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	No / 21.0¢	-30.53	$6.41
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 planktonXD	No / 19.0¢	-1.88	$0.36
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 79.7¢	-82.07	$65.4
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 82.0¢	+14.17	$11.6
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	No / 20.0¢	-66.02	$13.2
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 botV260720	Yes / 85.0¢	+5.00	$4.25
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 84.5¢	-5.00	$4.22
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 82.0¢	+30.00	$24.6
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 81.4¢	-30.00	$24.4
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 82.0¢	+50.00	$41
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 81.4¢	-50.00	$40.7
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 82.0¢	+50.00	$41
11h	Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 81.4¢	-50.00	$40.7
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.2¢	+27.12	$0.33
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	Roro22	No / 98.7¢	+67.12	$66.3
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.3¢	+40.00	$0.52
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.2¢	+65.31	$0.78
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	Roro22	No / 98.6¢	+451.41	$445
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0x812b...f5bbcf	No / 98.0¢	-13.20	$12.9
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.4¢	+100.00	$1.4
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.7¢	+9.90	$0.17
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes / 1.6¢	+23.00	$0.37
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.3¢	+100.00	$1.3
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.8¢	+40.00	$0.72
12h	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	fElon	Yes / 1.5¢	+100.00	$1.5
12h	Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 AJSV	Yes / 28.0¢	+11.35	$3.18
12h	Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	0 0x1B8838C33a22D7b787d2FFeBB7cC5A104d3ea191-1776602334499	Yes / 27.0¢	+15.36	$4.15

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

Markets

Recent trades

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Probability history