Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Open5 markets·Ends Dec 31, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$89K

Txns

2,663

Traders

378

Fees

$16

Tech Big Tech google AI

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Markets

Market
↑ 1550	31%	$156	$4.97K
↑ 1600	23%	$0	$1.11K
↑ 1650	10%	$0	$1.9K
↑ 1700	9%	$0	$4.18K
↑ 1500	YesResolved	$0	$0

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
3h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 31.1¢	-20.00	$6.23
3h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 68.0¢	-20.00	$13.6
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 gummy-usb	Yes / 30.9¢	+135.00	$42.9
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Bodytobody	No / 69.0¢	+21.74	$15
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	+98.26	$67.8
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-59.07	$46.7
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 tthahaha	No / 79.0¢	-9.00	$7.11
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 79.0¢	+68.07	$54.2
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 no1biao	No / 67.0¢	-10.00	$6.7
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 csbellizzi	Yes / 32.0¢	+24.76	$7.92
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 67.7¢	+61.04	$41.9
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 32.0¢	+20.00	$6.4
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 67.0¢	-6.28	$4.21
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 8.7¢	-9.13	$0.79
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-25.32	$20
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 parameter1	No / 79.0¢	+25.32	$20.2
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Elias.Thornwell	No / 91.0¢	+9.13	$8.34
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 64.1¢	-10.00	$6.41
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes / 35.0¢	-10.00	$3.5
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 66.1¢	-20.00	$13.2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 33.0¢	-20.00	$6.6
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 AiBird	Yes / 10.0¢	+50.00	$5
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	No / 90.0¢	+50.00	$45.2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 35.0¢	+59.00	$21.2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes / 35.0¢	-59.00	$20.6
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 34.0¢	+38.58	$13.5
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 66.0¢	+30.00	$19.8
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 66.0¢	+8.58	$5.66
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 31.0¢	+14.84	$4.6
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	No / 69.0¢	+14.84	$10.4
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	No / 66.0¢	+10.10	$6.76
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 66.0¢	-10.10	$6.67
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 ikengard	Yes / 23.0¢	-86.08	$19.8
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 23.0¢	+86.08	$20.4
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 66.0¢	+8.16	$5.39
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 34.0¢	+13.86	$4.84
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	Yes / 34.0¢	-5.70	$1.94
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rrssd	Yes / 30.1¢	-1.72	$0.52
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 31.0¢	+1.72	$0.53
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	Yes / 30.0¢	+1.72	$0.52
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 opopr	Yes / 29.2¢	-1.72	$0.5
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Belenf	Yes / 30.1¢	-3.44	$1.04
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 31.0¢	+3.44	$1.07
6d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 30.0¢	+1.52	$0.46
6d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 xf3yroh9fcfn	Yes / 28.9¢	-1.52	$0.44

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
3h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 31.1¢	-20.00	$6.23
3h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 68.0¢	-20.00	$13.6
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 gummy-usb	Yes / 30.9¢	+135.00	$42.9
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Bodytobody	No / 69.0¢	+21.74	$15
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 69.0¢	+98.26	$67.8
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
4h	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826	No / 70.0¢	+5.00	$3.5
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-59.07	$46.7
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 tthahaha	No / 79.0¢	-9.00	$7.11
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 79.0¢	+68.07	$54.2
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 no1biao	No / 67.0¢	-10.00	$6.7
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 csbellizzi	Yes / 32.0¢	+24.76	$7.92
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	X-Rabbit.Sezu	No / 67.7¢	+61.04	$41.9
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 ScottsRoad	Yes / 32.0¢	+20.00	$6.4
1d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 67.0¢	-6.28	$4.21
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 8.7¢	-9.13	$0.79
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	No / 79.0¢	-25.32	$20
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 parameter1	No / 79.0¢	+25.32	$20.2
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 Elias.Thornwell	No / 91.0¢	+9.13	$8.34
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?	0 nani	Yes / 9.0¢	+9.13	$0.82
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 64.1¢	-10.00	$6.41
3d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes / 35.0¢	-10.00	$3.5
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 66.1¢	-20.00	$13.2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 33.0¢	-20.00	$6.6
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 AiBird	Yes / 10.0¢	+50.00	$5
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	No / 90.0¢	+50.00	$45.2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 35.0¢	+59.00	$21.2
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes / 35.0¢	-59.00	$20.6
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 34.0¢	+38.58	$13.5
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	No / 66.0¢	+30.00	$19.8
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 66.0¢	+8.58	$5.66
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 31.0¢	+14.84	$4.6
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	No / 69.0¢	+14.84	$10.4
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	No / 66.0¢	+10.10	$6.76
4d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 66.0¢	-10.10	$6.67
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 ikengard	Yes / 23.0¢	-86.08	$19.8
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 23.0¢	+86.08	$20.4
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 15rob	No / 66.0¢	+8.16	$5.39
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rebate8784	Yes / 34.0¢	+13.86	$4.84
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	Yes / 34.0¢	-5.70	$1.94
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 rrssd	Yes / 30.1¢	-1.72	$0.52
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 31.0¢	+1.72	$0.53
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Colala	Yes / 30.0¢	+1.72	$0.52
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 opopr	Yes / 29.2¢	-1.72	$0.5
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 Belenf	Yes / 30.1¢	-3.44	$1.04
5d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 keybo	Yes / 31.0¢	+3.44	$1.07
6d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 30.0¢	+1.52	$0.46
6d	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	0 xf3yroh9fcfn	Yes / 28.9¢	-1.52	$0.44

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Markets

Recent trades

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Probability history