CA-04 Primary Winners

Open8 markets·Ends Jun 2, 2026

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Volume

$36K

Txns

1,812

Traders

294

Fees

$62

Elections Politics Primaries Midterms

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Markets

Market
Mike Thompson	100%	$88.3	$1.72K
Eric Jones	44%	$1.39K	$620
John Wesley Tyler	3%	$0	$1.27K
Sharon Brown	3%	$0	$3.04K
Heath Fulkerson	2%	$0	$2.84K
Laurie MacKenzie	1%	$0	$948
Mandy Ghusar	0%	$0	$5.93K
Trevor Merrell	0%	$0	$4.21K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
5h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	No / 54.8¢	-6.00	$3.29
5h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 GUINESS123	Yes / 44.2¢	-6.00	$2.65
9h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-15.00	$0.01
9h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 TrangNgo	Yes / 99.9¢	-15.00	$15
11h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 dujingdonghyy	Yes / 99.9¢	-6.91	$6.9
11h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-6.91	$0.01
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	No / 31.4¢	+5.00	$1.57
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 68.9¢	+37.00	$25.8
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	No / 31.1¢	+5.00	$1.55
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 AJSV	No / 31.0¢	+27.00	$8.37
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	No / 31.3¢	+5.00	$1.56
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 AJSV	No / 31.0¢	+73.00	$22.6
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 69.0¢	+100.00	$69.8
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	No / 31.1¢	+5.00	$1.55
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 31.1¢	+17.00	$5.29
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 50.0¢	+10.00	$5
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 49.0¢	-10.00	$4.9
17h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-5.00	$0.01
17h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 pepamon	Yes / 99.9¢	-5.00	$4.99
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 44.8¢	-6.99	$3.13
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 55.1¢	+8.24	$4.54
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 44.8¢	-8.01	$3.59
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 44.8¢	+23.24	$10.6
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Kinderr	No / 0.1¢	+10.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Fidgett	No / 0.1¢	+14.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Golffff	No / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Justit	No / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x716d...7870a8	No / 0.1¢	+14.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-94.00	$0.09
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911	No / 0.1¢	+14.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Ecoco	No / 0.1¢	+12.00	$0.01
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Rodoil	No / 71.2¢	+70.19	$50.6
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 30.0¢	+52.55	$15.8
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 74.9¢	-5.00	$3.75
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	Yes / 25.2¢	+5.00	$1.26
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 25.0¢	+7.64	$1.91
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 lll999	No / 69.6¢	-7.49	$5.21
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 69.9¢	-8.00	$5.59
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 69.9¢	-5.00	$3.5
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 30.0¢	+47.45	$14.2
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Rodoil	No / 69.9¢	+72.94	$51.6
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	Yes / 30.3¢	+5.00	$1.51
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	Yes / 43.8¢	+41.98	$18.8
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 43.8¢	-21.64	$9.48
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	No / 56.2¢	+5.00	$2.81
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 43.7¢	-7.50	$3.28
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 43.8¢	-7.84	$3.43
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	Yes / 41.3¢	+7.00	$2.96
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 41.3¢	-7.00	$2.89
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 AJSV	No / 58.4¢	+3.99	$2.33

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
5h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	No / 54.8¢	-6.00	$3.29
5h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 GUINESS123	Yes / 44.2¢	-6.00	$2.65
9h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-15.00	$0.01
9h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 TrangNgo	Yes / 99.9¢	-15.00	$15
11h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 dujingdonghyy	Yes / 99.9¢	-6.91	$6.9
11h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-6.91	$0.01
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	No / 31.4¢	+5.00	$1.57
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 68.9¢	+37.00	$25.8
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	No / 31.1¢	+5.00	$1.55
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 AJSV	No / 31.0¢	+27.00	$8.37
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	No / 31.3¢	+5.00	$1.56
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 AJSV	No / 31.0¢	+73.00	$22.6
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 69.0¢	+100.00	$69.8
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	No / 31.1¢	+5.00	$1.55
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 31.1¢	+17.00	$5.29
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 50.0¢	+10.00	$5
12h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 49.0¢	-10.00	$4.9
17h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-5.00	$0.01
17h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 pepamon	Yes / 99.9¢	-5.00	$4.99
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 44.8¢	-6.99	$3.13
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 55.1¢	+8.24	$4.54
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 44.8¢	-8.01	$3.59
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 44.8¢	+23.24	$10.6
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Kinderr	No / 0.1¢	+10.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Fidgett	No / 0.1¢	+14.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Golffff	No / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Justit	No / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x716d...7870a8	No / 0.1¢	+14.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	No / 0.1¢	-94.00	$0.09
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911	No / 0.1¢	+14.00	$0.01
20h	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Ecoco	No / 0.1¢	+12.00	$0.01
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Rodoil	No / 71.2¢	+70.19	$50.6
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 30.0¢	+52.55	$15.8
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 74.9¢	-5.00	$3.75
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	Yes / 25.2¢	+5.00	$1.26
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 25.0¢	+7.64	$1.91
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 lll999	No / 69.6¢	-7.49	$5.21
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 69.9¢	-8.00	$5.59
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 69.9¢	-5.00	$3.5
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811	Yes / 30.0¢	+47.45	$14.2
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 Rodoil	No / 69.9¢	+72.94	$51.6
20h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	Yes / 30.3¢	+5.00	$1.51
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	Yes / 43.8¢	+41.98	$18.8
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 43.8¢	-21.64	$9.48
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Lavincey	No / 56.2¢	+5.00	$2.81
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 43.7¢	-7.50	$3.28
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 43.8¢	-7.84	$3.43
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 MarioLu	Yes / 41.3¢	+7.00	$2.96
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	orbitalcoins2	Yes / 41.3¢	-7.00	$2.89
21h	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	0 AJSV	No / 58.4¢	+3.99	$2.33

CA-04 Primary Winners

Markets

Recent trades

CA-04 Primary Winners

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

CA-04 Primary Winners

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

CA-04 Primary Winners

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Probability history