Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Open5 markets·Ends Jul 31, 2026

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$48K

Txns

2,380

Traders

267

Fees

$101

Japan Global Rates World BOJ

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Markets

Market
No change	95%	$2.25K	$11.1K
25 bps increase	5%	$157	$11.3K
50+ bps increase	3%	$1.68K	$44.1K
50+ bps decrease	0%	$34.1	$13.2K
25 bps decrease	0%	$34.1	$13.4K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 3.6¢	-25.00	$0.9
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 3.8¢	+25.00	$0.95
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 5.9¢	-25.00	$1.48
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 5.9¢	+25.00	$1.54
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 TraderProMax	No / 4.9¢	+12.56	$0.62
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 4.7¢	-25.00	$1.18
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.0¢	-12.44	$11.8
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 5.9¢	+25.00	$1.54
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 5.9¢	-25.00	$1.48
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 94.4¢	-50.00	$47.2
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 predictdogepepewif	No / 5.3¢	-50.00	$2.67
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.7¢	-20.04	$19.2
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 4.1¢	-20.04	$0.82
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 5.1¢	+60.00	$3.06
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 4.9¢	-60.00	$2.91
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 96.2¢	-10.00	$9.62
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 3.6¢	-10.00	$0.36
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.5¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.3¢	-15.00	$0.64
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.2¢	-15.00	$0.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.6¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.2¢	-15.00	$0.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.6¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 3.6¢	-15.00	$0.54
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 96.2¢	-15.00	$14.4
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 96.0¢	-3.28	$3.15
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xA158c	No / 3.9¢	-50.00	$1.95
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 HerrieDavis	No / 4.1¢	+46.72	$1.92
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.2¢	-15.00	$0.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.6¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Eutambemsou	No / 3.5¢	+15.00	$0.53
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 3.3¢	-15.00	$0.5
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 5.4¢	+85.00	$4.59
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xA158c	No / 5.1¢	+50.00	$2.55
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 5.1¢	-85.00	$4.37
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 4.9¢	-50.00	$2.43
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 5.4¢	-100.00	$5.43
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 5.4¢	+15.00	$0.81
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Biver52	No / 5.7¢	+100.00	$5.7
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 5.1¢	-15.00	$0.77
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332	Yes / 94.1¢	-5.00	$4.71
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111	Yes / 94.1¢	-5.00	$4.71
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 5.6¢	-10.00	$0.56
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 6.1¢	+125.00	$7.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 SPLPB	Yes / 93.9¢	+340.03	$320
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 6.1¢	+215.03	$13.1
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Dr.PNL	No / 5.8¢	-450.03	$26.2
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 predictdogepepewif	No / 6.1¢	+50.00	$3.05
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	Yes / 93.9¢	-60.00	$56.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 SPLPB	No / 6.1¢	+340.03	$20.7

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 3.6¢	-25.00	$0.9
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 3.8¢	+25.00	$0.95
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 5.9¢	-25.00	$1.48
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 5.9¢	+25.00	$1.54
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 TraderProMax	No / 4.9¢	+12.56	$0.62
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 4.7¢	-25.00	$1.18
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.0¢	-12.44	$11.8
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	RandomDiceMan	No / 5.9¢	+25.00	$1.54
1h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 5.9¢	-25.00	$1.48
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 94.4¢	-50.00	$47.2
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 predictdogepepewif	No / 5.3¢	-50.00	$2.67
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.7¢	-20.04	$19.2
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 4.1¢	-20.04	$0.82
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	No / 5.1¢	+60.00	$3.06
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 4.9¢	-60.00	$2.91
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 96.2¢	-10.00	$9.62
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 3.6¢	-10.00	$0.36
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.5¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.3¢	-15.00	$0.64
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.2¢	-15.00	$0.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.6¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.2¢	-15.00	$0.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.6¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 3.6¢	-15.00	$0.54
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 96.2¢	-15.00	$14.4
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 96.0¢	-3.28	$3.15
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xA158c	No / 3.9¢	-50.00	$1.95
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 HerrieDavis	No / 4.1¢	+46.72	$1.92
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 4.2¢	-15.00	$0.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 AJSV	Yes / 95.6¢	-15.00	$14.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Eutambemsou	No / 3.5¢	+15.00	$0.53
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 3.3¢	-15.00	$0.5
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 5.4¢	+85.00	$4.59
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xA158c	No / 5.1¢	+50.00	$2.55
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 5.1¢	-85.00	$4.37
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 4.9¢	-50.00	$2.43
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 5.4¢	-100.00	$5.43
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 autocurate	No / 5.4¢	+15.00	$0.81
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Biver52	No / 5.7¢	+100.00	$5.7
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 5.1¢	-15.00	$0.77
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332	Yes / 94.1¢	-5.00	$4.71
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111	Yes / 94.1¢	-5.00	$4.71
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 5.6¢	-10.00	$0.56
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	No / 6.1¢	+125.00	$7.63
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 SPLPB	Yes / 93.9¢	+340.03	$320
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 cedriss	No / 6.1¢	+215.03	$13.1
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Dr.PNL	No / 5.8¢	-450.03	$26.2
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 predictdogepepewif	No / 6.1¢	+50.00	$3.05
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 PPMT	Yes / 93.9¢	-60.00	$56.3
2h	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	0 SPLPB	No / 6.1¢	+340.03	$20.7

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Markets

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Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Probability history